Gritsun, “Simulation of possible future climate changes in the 21st century in the INM-CM5 climate model,” Izv. Yakovlev, “Simulation of modern climate with the new version of the INM RAS climate model,” Izv. WMO Statement on the State of the Global Climate in 2019 (WMO, 2020).Į. Ippolitov, “Influence of radiation and circulation factors on climate change in Western Siberia at the end of the 20th century and beginning of the 21st century,” Izv. Mordvin, “The influence of global climate changes on Western Siberia climate in the first half of XXI century,” Vychislitel’nye Tekhnologii 23 (4), 83–94 (2018).Į. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Ed. “Summary for policymakers,” in Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Volkova, “Spatial analysis of natural and climate dangers in winter in Tomsk Region,” in Nature Management and Environmental Conditions in Euroopean Russia and Adjacent Territories (BelGU, Belgorod, 2019), p. Matsuyama, “Analysis of climatic extremity since the 1950s in the mountain Altai territory,” Geosfernye Issled., No. Pustovalov, “Tendencies in changes of climate extremality in Western Siberia at the end of the XX century and the beginning of the XXI century,” Fundament. Lavrinenko, “Estimation of current trends in the monthly mean temperature in the atmospheric boundary layer over Siberia,” Atmos. Knaub, “Natural conditions of development of emergency situations in the territory of the Siberian Federal district,” Geosfernye Issled., No. 1, 66–77 (2020). Report about Features of Climate in the Russian Federation in 2017 (Rosgidromet, Moscow, 2018). Report about Features of Climate in the Russian Federation in 2020 (Rosgidromet, Moscow, 2021). The results of the INM-CM5.0 model calculations revealed the response of the regional climate system to the ongoing global changes: the increasing trend in the number of extreme events in the region will persist until 2100. In addition, areas affected by heavy rainfall are becoming smaller in the region and are located mainly in the south and along its western boundary. Extreme precipitation amounts increase during summer in the entire area, except in mountainous areas in its southeastern part. The air temperature is found to increase in the period 2011–2020 throughout Western Siberia, while the amount of precipitation and wind speed do so predominantly in its northern areas. The combined analysis of the derived estimates made it possible to identify the centers of “risk” in these areas and to determine the trends in their development. Saturday, with heavy wet snow expected through to Saturday morning.Data from ERA5 reanalysis and observations at meteorological stations are used to estimate the spatiotemporal variations of extreme values of climatic and dangerous meteorological phenomena for the territory of Western Siberia over 1979–2020, and to identify the tendencies of their future variations during the late twenty-first century against the background of global climate change. Smith says the storm’s greatest impact will be seen from 9 p.m. “We are entering the time of year where the battle between cold arctic air is battling against the warmer southern air as we transition into spring,” Smith said. Thundersnows are most common in the Great Lakes region because cold air blowing across the relatively mild water of the Great Lakes forces the air upwards rapidly enough that the instability causes lightning and thunder in conjunction with heavy snow, according to the Almanac.ĬTV News Toronto weather specialist Jessica Smith also said these types of late winter storm aren’t uncommon. "Still, thundersnow does happen," the organization says. Thundersnows are fairly rare because, in winter, "the lower layers of air are colder - and have a lower dew point, these kinds of atmospheric clashes are very unusual during colder months." Thundersnow in Kitchener #ONStorm /lNDtwi3nNmĪccording to the Farmer's Almanac, thunderstorms occur when an air mass becomes so unstable that it overturns violently, usually when drastically different temperatures meet.
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